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Mortgage applications rise as interest rates fall

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications, which includes both purchase and refinance loans, rose 14.6% for the week ended February 26, from the earlier week. The Refinance Index rose 17.2% from the previous week while the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 9.0% from one week earlier. The increase was due to a drop in loan rates — the rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped to 4.95%. “Mortgage applications rebounded last week, particularly refis, as rates dropped back below 5 percent,” said Michael Fratantoni, vice president of research and economics at MBA. “Purchase activity remains subdued, with application volumes remaining within the narrow range seen in the last few months.” Analysts say the surge in mortgage applications is not an indication of long-term recovery, given the current levels of foreclosure and unemployment. “We are seeing positive signs of some form of life, but it is not si gnificant and the recuperation period is going to be significant because these are dramatic declines” in housing, said Vickie Lester, president of mortgage servicing at RoundPoint Financial Group.

Home prices rise 5%

Clear Capital, a provider of real estate data, says home prices climbed 5% nationally in February from a year ago. The prices grew 2.3% in January on an annual basis. Among metropolitan areas, Providence, Rhode Island saw the highest rise of 6.1% from the earlier quarter. California had 5 of the 15 highest performing markets. The rise in prices is likely to be sustained as the tax credit deadline approaches in April. “If the increase in demand that preceded the end of the last tax credit is any indication, home prices may dip only slightly into negative territory before getting an added boost before the April tax credit deadline,” said Alex Villacorta, senior statistician at Clear Capital. The firm has expressed optimism despite the likely impact of REOs – properties that go back to the mortgage company after an unsuccessful foreclosure auction – on home prices in the coming months. “Although many markets have seen a slow down in price gains, I’m encouraged that p rices have remained positive through the first two months of the year despite all the negative economic news and threat of more REOs hitting the markets,” Villacorta said.

HARP gets extension for 12 months

The Obama administration introduced the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) last year to help about 4 to 5 million borrowers who have little or no equity in their homes. The program, administered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, refinanced 190,180 mortgages in 2009 with loan-to-value between 80% and 125%. The program which was set to expire June this year has been extended by 12 months. Edward DeMarco, acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said the program has been extended to June 2011 in order to “support and promote market stability and to encourage lenders and other mortgage market participants to fully adopt the HARP program, including the implementation of the October 2009 expansion of loan-to-value ratios to 125%.” Analysts have been critical of the program and say it has had a limited impact so far. “The overall volume last year was an embarrassingly small amount. I don’t think it will make a big difference” to have the program extended, said Thoma  s Lawler, a housing consultant.

Fannie Mae seeks $15.3 billion in bailout money

Fannie Mae, the country’s largest mortgage financier, says it needs another $15.3 billion to tide over the current housing crisis. The company posted a staggering loss of over $ 70 billion in 2009 compared to $ 58.8 billion losses in 2008. Fannie’s losses were mainly on account of $11.9 billion in credit expenses, which included bad loans and costs incurred in maintaining foreclosed properties. The company also took a $5 billion write-down on low-income tax-credit investments. About 5.38% of Fannie’s single-family loans were more than 90 days delinquent, up from 2.42% a year earlier. Total nonperforming loans of the company were $216.5 billion at year-end, compared with $119.2 billion in the prior year-end. Fannie has so far received over $ 60 billion in bailout money. While the company expects to see an improvement in its performance this year, losses are likely to continue through 2010. Fannie and Freddie Mac have played a key role in implementing the Obama administrati on’s initiatives to stem the rising tide of foreclosures. Michael Williams, Chief Executive of Fannie Mae, said foreclosure prevention was a top priority. “Our overriding objective is keeping people in their homes whenever possible.”

Orleans Homebuilders files for bankruptcy

Orleans Homebuilders, a Pennsylvania-based housing developer has filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 11. Orleans had $440 million of assets and $498.8 million of liabilities as of December 31. Jeffrey Orleans, Chief Executive, said the company is looking for a buyer through a negotiated sale or court-supervised auction. The company’s revenue dropped by about two-thirds over the last three years — from $1 billion in 2006 to $322 million in 2009. The company defaulted on a $350 million credit facility last month after failing to get an extension of maturity of its debt. Orleans said it had $311 million of cash borrowings outstanding, excluding letters of credit. Orleans joins a long list of real estate companies that have filed for bankruptcy so far. “There’s been an enormous bubble in commercial real estate, and it has to come down,” said Elizabeth Warren, chairman of the Congressional Oversight Panel, the watchdog that monitors financial bailout. “There will be significant bankruptcies among developers and significant failures among community banks.”

MBA proposes forbearance program

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) says it has developed a concept for a new forbearance program that would allow qualified borrowers who had lost their jobs to remain in their homes while they seek new employment.  According to the proposed program, loan servicers would reduce the borrower’s mortgage payment to an affordable amount for up to nine months while the homeowner looked for employment.

  “The vast majority of new distressed borrowers we are seeing involve the loss of income,” said John A. Courson, MBA’s President and CEO.  “This program is designed to buy those borrowers time to find a new job, after which they could hopefully qualify for a loan modification.” Loan servicers who participate in this program would reduce monthly payments to an affordable level based on household income, and borrowers would be initially evaluated for the forbearance program using a model that assumes the borrower will be reemployed within nine months of losing his or her job at 75 percent of the borrower’s previous salary.  The borrower would be reevaluated as to employment and income status every three months for a total forbearance of nine months.  

 Once reemployed, the borrower would be evaluated for a modification under the Obama Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). “Recent statistics show that the average unemployed U.S. worker stays unemployed for between six and seven months,” added Courson.  “That is a long time for a borrower with a dramatic drop in income to stay current on their mortgage.  Further, borrowers with such a precipitous drop in income can’t qualify for most loan modification programs, so we are looking for ways to allow those borrowers to keep their homes while they look for another job.”

National New Home Sales Down

The Census Bureau says the seasonally adjusted annual rate of new home sales fell 11.2% to 309,000 last month, compared with a revised rate of 348,000 in December.  It was the lowest rate since the government began keeping records in 1963 and comes after declines in November and December.  The drop surprised many industry analysts. A consensus of economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected January sales to rise to an annual rate of 354,000. “Some people were expecting a surge in demand because of the tax credit,” said Patrick Newport, an economist at IHS Global Insight. “But that surge isn’t materializing.”  New home sales fell in all U.S. regions except the Mid-west, where sales edged up 2.1%. The Northeast was the hardest-hit last month, with sales plunging more than 35%.  “Distressed inventory continues to hit the market at cut-rate prices, drawing potential buyers away from new product,” said Mike Larson, real estate analyst at Weiss Research. “And let’s face it, the

  job market is nothing to write home about, either.”  There were an estimated 234,000 new homes for sale at the end of December, according to the report. At the current sales rate, it would take 9.1 months to sell through that inventory. That’s up from December, when there were 8.1 months of inventory on the market. Prior to December, inventory levels had been steadily declining since May 2009. IHS Global Insight’s Newport said he also expects sales to pop this spring. However, he may reduce his full year forecast for new home sales in light of Wednesday’s report. “Builders are putting up homes,” he said. “But what these numbers are telling us is that those homes aren’t selling.”

Delinquency rate down but foreclosures at all time high

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.47 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2009, down 17 basis points from the third quarter of 2009, and up 159 basis points from one year ago. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 50 basis points from 9.94 percent in the third quarter of 2009 to 10.44 percent this quarter. The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.58 percent, an increase of 11 basis points from the third quarter of 2009 and 128 basis points from one year ago. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 15.02 percent on a non-seasonal ly adjusted basis, the highest ever recorded in the MBA delinquency survey.

The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the fourth quarter was 1.20 percent, down 22 basis points from last quarter and up 12 basis points from one year ago. The percentages of loans 90 days or more past due and loans in foreclosure set new record highs. The percentage of loans 30 days past due is still below the record set in the second quarter of 1985. Jay Brinkmann, MBA’s chief economist, says, “Despite the drop in short-term delinquencies, foreclosure rates could continue to climb, however, based on the ability of borrowers 90 days or more delinquent to solve their problems. A sizable number of the loans in the 90+ day delinquent bucket are in loan modification programs. They are carried as delinquent until borrowers demonstrate they will make the payments agreed to in the plans.”

FHA Loans Facilitate Home Ownership

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) program first began in 1934 in an effort to encourage home ownership despite the difficult economic times of the era. The program enables consumers who may not qualify for a standard loan to obtain the financing they need to purchase a home without income limitations.

FHA loans differ from typical loans in that they are insured by the Federal Housing Administration, which is a part of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Because this insurance reduces the lender’s risk on the loan, lenders have greater flexibility with regard to approving loans. For example, FHA loans are not credit-score driven, so a client may be able to obtain a loan despite having had credit problems or even a bankruptcy in the past. Alternatively, if a consumer does not have a traditional credit history, it is still possible to obtain financing by documenting payment histories on items such as rent and utilities.

FHA loans also provide added flexibility when it comes to closing costs and the down payment. Many of the closing costs can be incorporated into the loan, and a down payment of less than 3.5% of the purchase price is required. The down payment may be obtained as a gift from a family member or through a down-payment assistance program. FHA loans are processed just like any other loan, and they provide a wonderful opportunity for consumers who are seeking to achieve home ownership!
Mortgage Interest Rates for Fixed Rate Mortgages*
Rates as of Thursday, 18th February, 2010:

*Rates are subject to change due to market fluctuations and borrower’s eligibility.

Fed Comments Push Mortgage Rates Higher

While investors began the week watching for fresh information about Greece and China, the Fed stole the spotlight on Wednesday with news that was unfavorable for mortgage markets, and mortgage rates ended the week moderately higher.
The Fed currently has significant influence on mortgage rates. Over the last year, the Fed pushed mortgage rates lower by purchasing over $1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Wednesday, the Fed’s Plosser suggested that the Fed should begin selling those MBS “sooner rather than later.” Later that day, the Fed released the detailed minutes from the January 27 Fed meeting. The minutes revealed that “several” Fed officials favored starting the sale of the Fed’s MBS portfolio “in the near future.” Investors were not expecting that Fed MBS sales would begin any time soon. Quite simply, adding to the supply of MBS being sold means that yields would need to move higher to attract buyers. Since mortgage rates are largely determined by MBS yields, mortgage rates rose after the news.

Thursday, the Fed announced an increase in the discount rate, the emergency rate at which banks borrow money from the Fed. The Fed made clear that this in no way reflected a change in broader monetary policy or its economic outlook. This was simply a return to more normal levels for one Fed tool now that the financial crisis has eased. As a result, there was very little impact on mortgage rates. According to Fed officials, a move to begin to tighten overall monetary policy, which almost certainly would cause a significant reaction, is still expected to be at least several months away. The inflation data released this week continued to show low levels of current inflation, providing little pressure for the Fed to rush to take action.

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